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Evolving threats to civil aviation will almost certainly drive demand for investment in new security technologies to detect and mitigate security threats while leaving total global air passenger traffic relatively unscathed because of strong growth drivers. Industry analysts anticipate that the global aviation sector's growth in 2016 will exceed the 6.5 percent growth in passenger traffic last year. Drivers for growth include increasing air traffic volumes in China, South East Asia, and the Middle East as well as sustained lower global oil prices. 

Recent deadly plane crashes, including Russia (March 2016) and Egypt (October 2015), as well as the terrorist attack at the airport in Brussels, Belgium, present wildcards that will likely only affect the industry's growth on the margins.

  • Airlines will manage varying levels of additional capital costs for fleet maintenance and security as well as losses for intermittent reductions in air traffic volumes in markets affected by terrorism. 
  • While the aviation sector may be an attractive terrorist target, as commercial air traffic has steadily grown so too has the industry's safety record, suggesting it possesses the responsiveness required to address modern aviation threats. In 2008, about 1 million people died in road accidents worldwide compared to 1,000 fatalities in plane crashes.
  • Aviation is also the fastest and arguably the most comfortable means of long-distance travel, virtually ensuring continued air passenger traffic growth well beyond the more than 3 billion passengers carried by air in 2014.

The allure of this industry to terrorists and other attackers is unlikely to diminish and demands continued security investment to match the evolving threats. Aviation is a soft target with high symbolic value and media exposure. Attacks are costly for the airlines, affected families, and countries involved. Successful attacks also have the strong potential to cause political embarrassment and scrutiny, as is the situation now with international attention pivoting to the failed aviation security screening processes in Egypt.

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OverviewPlane Crash Statistics | Air Passenger Market Analysis | Air Transport Traffic Data | Airline Companies | The European Aircraft Fleet

 

Related Data Insights

Airline Industry | Airline Companies

Overview | Plane Crash Statistics | Air Passenger Market Analysis | Air Transport Traffic Data | Airline Companies | The European Aircraft Fleet

Airline Industry | Air Passenger Market Analysis

Overview | Plane Crash Statistics | Air Passenger Market Analysis | Air Transport Traffic Data | Airline Companies | The European Aircraft Fleet

Airline Industry | Air Transport Traffic

Overview | Plane Crash Statistics | Air Passenger Market Analysis | Air Transport Traffic Data | Airline Companies | The European Aircraft Fleet

The World - Paramount Armed Forces

A Country's projection of power relies in large part upon its military capabilities. Successfully being able to project and wield that power is a key diplomatic asset. America's biggest conventional military advantages is its fleet of 19 aircrafts carriers, compared to 12 carriers operated by the rest of the World combined. These massive carriers allow the US to setup forward operating bases anywhere and project power throughtout the World.